full-time
Quantitative Trader - Sports Prediction Markets
Raven
- Employer
- Raven
- Location
- Milan, Lombardy, Italy
- Working pattern
- on-site
About the role
You will develop and maintain event models to generate probability distributions for sports prediction markets and manage two-sided quoting and risk exposure. The role involves real-time repricing based on news and market events while ensuring robust position sizing and inventory management. Candidates must demonstrate a proven track record of forecasting real-world events for profit and possess strong applied statistics and Bayesian inference skills. You should be able to think in probabilities, manage model validation, and effectively compete in exchange-style markets.